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CREDITRISKMONITOR COM INC (CRMZ)·Q1 2021 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2021 revenue rose to $4.13M, up 11% year over year, with operating income of $0.24M and net income of $0.19M; operating margin improved to 5.80% from -7.73% in Q1 2020 .
  • SG&A declined 9% year over year on revised commission accruals, while data/product costs increased 7% from inflationary supplier pricing and staff pay raises .
  • Management reiterated investment behind a “new platform” and expanded private-company coverage; liquidity remains strong with $10.46M cash and PPP forgiveness application in process .
  • No formal guidance provided; management highlights COVID-driven forecasting uncertainty—near-term stock catalysts center on product launch execution and sustained renewal/sales momentum .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Operating revenues increased approximately $424K (+11%) versus Q1 2020 on higher subscription sales to new and existing customers .
  • SG&A fell ~$214K (-9%) year over year due to revised commission accrual methodology, partially offset by higher salary/benefits and sales expansion .
  • CEO emphasized continued investment: “We are looking to introduce a new platform in the near future as well as important additions to our private company coverage… we believe these investments will, over time, produce meaningful returns.”

What Went Wrong

  • Data/product costs increased ~$101K (+7%) year over year, driven by supplier inflation and staff compensation increases .
  • Other income declined ~$19K year over year on lower money-market yields, reducing non-operating tailwinds .
  • Continued reliance on $1.56M PPP loan (maturing Apr 15, 2022) pending forgiveness; management underscores pandemic-related uncertainty for renewals and forecasting .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2020Q3 2020Q1 2021
Revenue ($USD)$3,708,751 $4,037,456 $4,132,901
Income from Operations ($USD)$(286,947) $359,586 $239,811
Operating Margin (%)-7.73% 8.91% 5.80%
Net Income ($USD)$(198,348) $281,082 $187,714
EPS (Basic & Diluted, $)$(0.02) $0.03 $0.02
Data & Product Costs ($USD)$1,526,328 $1,514,659 $1,627,786
SG&A ($USD)$2,415,258 $2,110,280 $2,200,792
Depreciation & Amortization ($USD)$54,112 $52,931 $64,512

Notes:

  • Q4 2020 quarterly detail is not disclosed in filings; trajectory analysis uses Q3 2020 and Q1 comparables .

Segment breakdown: CRMZ reports a single operating/reportable segment; no segment revenue disclosure .

Selected KPIs (Balance-Sheet/Subscription Dynamics)

KPI ($USD Thousands)Sep 30, 2020Dec 31, 2020Mar 31, 2021
Unexpired Subscription Revenue$9,190 $9,646 $9,871
Cash & Cash Equivalents$10,451 $10,303 $10,464
Accounts Receivable (net)$1,945 $2,557 $2,709
Working Capital$1,359 $848 $770

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY/QuarterlyNoneNoneNo formal guidance; management cites forecasting limitations amid COVID
MarginsFY/QuarterlyNoneNoneNo formal guidance; discretionary spend aligned to cash flow projections
OpEx (Sales & Marketing; Product Dev.)2021NoneExpect increases as business expands globally and dev. staffing grows, subject to liquidity discipline N/A
Tax RateFY/QuarterlyNoneNoneN/A
PPP/Financing2021N/APPP forgiveness application open during Q1; liquidity sufficient for next 12 months N/A

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2020)Current Period (Q1 2021)Trend
Product development / platformContinued investment in new services/products; expect product dev. expenses to increase CEO: new platform and expanded private coverage planned; costs borne before revenue Increasing investment ahead of launch
Sales/renewals momentumRevenue growth from increased sales to new and existing subscribers +11% YoY revenue; growth attributable to subscription sales Positive momentum
COVID and forecastingRemote operations; uncertainty on renewals; difficulty forecasting Management reiterates limited ability to forecast; expects quarterly fluctuations Persistent uncertainty
Cost structure (SG&A, data costs)SG&A up YTD; lower marketing due to COVID; data costs up modestly SG&A down YoY due to commission accrual change; data costs up from inflation and pay raises Mixed: SG&A efficiency vs higher input costs
Liquidity / PPPPPP received; liquidity strong PPP forgiveness path, cash +$162K QoQ; liquidity expected sufficient for 12 months Stable liquidity

Management Commentary

  • “Operating revenues increased approximately $424,000, or 11%, for the three months ended March 31, 2021 compared to the first quarter of fiscal 2020… attributable to increased sales to new and existing subscribers.”
  • CEO: “We are looking to introduce a new platform in the near future as well as important additions to our private company coverage… we believe these investments will, over time, produce meaningful returns.”
  • Liquidity posture: “With the proceeds of [PPP] loan, along with [existing] cash and cash generated from operations, the Company expects to have sufficient liquidity to continue for the next 12 months.”

Q&A Highlights

  • No formal Q&A transcript was filed for Q1 2021; key points addressed in filings include:
    • Revenue drivers (subscription sales to new/existing customers) .
    • OpEx mix (commission accrual methodology, higher salary/benefits; supplier inflation) .
    • PPP forgiveness timing and liquidity outlook .
    • Guidance stance and forecasting constraints under COVID .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus estimates (S&P Global) for Q1 2021 revenue and EPS were unavailable. In absence of published consensus, comparisons to estimates cannot be made and should not be inferred. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Q1 inflection to profitability with 5.80% operating margin and $0.02 EPS underscores operating leverage in subscription revenue as SG&A efficiencies took hold .
  • Revenue growth (+11% YoY) amid pandemic uncertainty indicates resilient demand for credit/supply-chain risk analytics; watch renewal rates and upsell activity as leading indicators .
  • Near-term margin variability likely as product launch and private-company coverage investments ramp ahead of revenue recognition; monitor data cost inflation and payroll trends .
  • Strong liquidity ($10.46M cash) and deferred subscription liabilities support runway; PPP forgiveness would further de-risk the balance sheet and reduce near-term debt service .
  • Absence of formal guidance requires triangulation via quarterly filings; expect continued volatility tied to macro/COVID and discretionary investment levels .
  • Tactical: momentum in sales/renewals is the key stock narrative; medium-term thesis hinges on successful platform launch translating to revenue scale and improved margin structure .

Citations:
Exhibit 99.1 press release (CEO commentary, FY 2020 operating results)
Q1 2021 10-Q financial statements (balance sheet and income statement)
Q1 2021 10-Q PPP disclosure (terms, forgiveness application)
Q1 2021 10-Q MD&A selected stats (working capital, ratios)
Q1 2021 10-Q MD&A liquidity outlook
Q1 2021 10-Q MD&A detailed results of operations
Q1 2021 10-Q MD&A future operations and forecasting commentary
FY 2020 10-K segment disclosure
FY 2020 10-K MD&A selected stats
Q3 2020 10-Q financial statements (revenue, net income)
Q3 2020 10-Q MD&A selected stats
Q3 2020 10-Q MD&A operating margin

*Values retrieved from S&P Global.